Secondary markets

The accepted consensus right now amongst VCs and those who follow the private markets is that most startups raising capital are seeing much lower valuations than they would have last year. The exception being the top tier 20% companies who are going through business as usual.

That’s largely been true from what I’ve seen so far from fundraises and speaking to VCs/founders who are currently raising.

On the secondary front, some companies will obviously take a larger hit, but I am seeing valuations depressed across the entire industry, even the top 20% companies. One of those said top 20% companies is currently trading at 66% of what they would have received back in December.

Based on this, we can see that the secondary markets are much more correlated to the public markets than VC primaries right now.

If I had some more cash on hand, I’d start looking into buying some of these “discounted” secondaries in these top tier companies. There could be a lot of gains to be had when the IPO market does indeed come back.